Friday, December 20, 2013

Could the Legalization of Gay Marriage help the GOP?

This past week court rulings legalized same-sex marriage in both New Mexico and Utah. The ruling applied to Utah will almost certainly be appealed.

Support for same-sex marriage has been growing and I don't think the trend is likely to reverse. Will it keep growing to the point where it is generally accepted or will it plateau? I'm not sure. But I would estimate that support is somewhere from 53-54%. People who are in that groups will have one more reason to not vote for many republicans. Very few republicans can win the vote of people who identify themselves as gay.

But what if court rulings lead to the legalization of same-sex marriage in all 50 states then it might take the issue off of the table. Meaning that if Same-Sex Marriage was legal in the United States and there was nothing that a legislative acts could do about it than it may do away with a reason to vote against the GOP. A Republican candidate for President might get about 22% of the gay vote. But the common tendency of courts is to rule in favor of same-sex marriage. If there was a definitive court ruling legalizing gay marriage and it was believed that it wasn't going to go away than perhaps the GOP would do better with those who support the gay rights movement.

Just some thoughts.

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